Good Sunday, everyone. Wanted to jump on here with a quick weekend update looking ahead to the upcoming work week. I want to first start with the potential for flooding rainfall this week.
The National Weather Service in Louisville has posted this update. Multiple rounds of widespread rain will impact most of Kentucky in the coming days. By the time all is set and done, some folks, especially here in Southern Kentucky could pick up 4”-6” of rain. Tuesday appears to be the day where we could get the most rainfall in a single day this week.
The Storm Prediction Center has already posted a severe weather risk for Tuesday. From E-town to the Lake Cumberland Area and points west, there is level 1 “Marginal Risk” for severe weather on Tuesday. A level 2 “Slight Risk” is posted to our south in parts of Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama. We are still a few days out so I will not get into specifics at this point.
Latest GFS is showing a potential line of showers and storms to come through Tuesday afternoon and into the early evening hours.
Here’s a look at the CAPE or Convective Available Potential Energy which is the “fuel” for storms. Like last Thursday, it appears right now this will be a low CAPE event. I want to reiterate that you don’t need a crazy amount for strong to severe storms.
I will keep a close watch on this and have a more in-depth update tomorrow. Enjoy the rest of your weekend!