Two new cases of COVID-19 in RC on Wednesday

Statewide Testing Positivity Rate: 2.85%.

Deaths: We are pleased to report no new deaths today. We have experienced a total of 377 deaths resulting in a 1.79% mortality rate (about 1 in 56) among known cases. This compares with a 1.39% mortality rate at the state level and a 1.82% mortality rate at the national level.

Hospitalizations: We presently have 27 cases in the hospital. This is 2 more than what we reported yesterday. We have had a total of 1,165 hospitalizations resulting in a 5.52% hospitalization rate (about 1 in 18) among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 4.82%. The latest data shows that 82.22% of Lake Cumberland’s ICU beds are filled, and 26.23% of ventilator capacity is being utilized.

Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 21,097 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 10.1% of our total population has been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested. Of our total cases, 0.35% are reinfections.

Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 32 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Adair: 1; Casey: 7; Green: 2; McCreary: 1; Pulaski: 13; Russell: 1; Taylor: 5; and, Wayne: 2. In all, we have released 97.3% of our total cases.

Active (Current) Cases: We added 5 more cases today than we had deceased and/or released cases. This leaves us with 195 active cases in our district across all 10 of our district’s 10 counties. On 12/10/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 1,342.

Where Did Cases Visit Prior to Isolation: The most common places cases visited prior to isolation are (in descending order): Family, Businesses, Schools, and Medical Facilities. Of our active cases, 5% can not be tied back to another known case (community-spread cases).

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 37 today: Adair: 1; Casey: 7; Clinton: 4; Cumberland: 2; Green: 2; McCreary: 7; Pulaski: 5; Russell: 2; Taylor: 5; and, Wayne: 2. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.001. This means our total case count is projected to double every 489.55 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 12/30/2020 when we added 301 cases. Today’s new cases include:

Adair: A 27-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Adair: A 25-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Casey: A 35-year-old female who is released, Asymptomatic;
Casey: A 72-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Casey: A 45-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Casey: A 27-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Casey: A 23-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Casey: A 22-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Casey: A 39-year-old female who is released, Resolved;
Clinton: A 7-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Clinton: A 11-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Clinton: A 9-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Clinton: A 68-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
Cumberland: A 15-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Cumberland: A 44-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Green: A 38-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Green: A 18-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
McCreary: A 9 months -old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 43-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 43-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 3-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 3-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 27-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
McCreary: A 26-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 48-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 64-year-old male who is hospitalized, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 56-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 63-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 18-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Pulaski: A 70-year-old male who is hospitalized, still symptomatic;
Russell: A 38-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Russell: A 18-year-old female who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
Taylor: A 62-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Taylor: A 59-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Taylor: A 52-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Taylor: A 40-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Taylor: A 19-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
Wayne: A 78-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;

A close look at our data may appear the Adair, Pulaski, and Wayne numbers are off today. This is because we moved one Pulaski case to Wayne and we deleted one duplicate from Adair.

Today, like the last few days, our new case rate is continuing to creep up, so our 7-day average incidence rate is creeping up as well. This is concerning since COVID-19 restrictions are being eased, vaccine uptake has slowed, and compliance with precautionary guidelines is not being followed as closely. Considering exponential growth, what looks like a slight uptick today, could turn into a surge over the next 6 weeks. Just 6 days ago out total cases were projected to double every 607 days. Today, 491 days.

We now have only 2 counties in the “yellow-community-spread” category, Cumberland, and Wayne; and 8 counties in the “orange-accelerated” range of community-spread: Adair, Casey, Clinton, Green, McCreary, Pulaski, Russell, and Taylor. None of our counties are presently in the “red-critical” range.

Keep in mind, in countries like Brazil, India, France, Italy, and Germany we are seeing sharp increases. Also, states like New Jersey, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are seeing sharp increases. Therefore, please do not assume that the pandemic is completely behind us and take the vaccine as soon as you can. Also, until the vaccine is widely available, and a significant percentage of the population has taken it, let’s all do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding the touching of our faces.

The Lake Cumberland area has experienced 21,097 cumulative confirmed cases and there have been 423,066 confirmed COVID-19 cases across all 120 Kentucky Counties as of today (this includes 422,694 statewide plus 372 reported cases in Lake Cumberland not in the Governor’s/Department for Public Health’s daily report). Regardless of the confirmed case count for any Lake Cumberland County, we believe COVID-19 to be widespread. The LCDHD is working tirelessly, including nights and weekends, to identify and contact all those with whom any positive case may have come into close contact, and to follow-up with positive cases when ready to be released. Additionally, we are striving diligently to follow-up on business-related complaints regarding noncompliance with the COVID-19 guidance. We are also working with any community partner that requests assistance for prevention or post-exposure planning/response. Finally, we are working with all community partners regarding vaccination planning.

 

About Zac Oakes 2846 Articles
Zac Oakes is the News and Sports Director for LakerCountry.com and Laker Country WJRS 104.9 FM.